Research
A population cohort analysis of England's national cervical cancer registry and death records finds no cervical cancer deaths in women with 88–90% HPV vaccine coverage over a five-year follow-up window, with an 80% mortality reduction in catch-up cohorts and 69% in the 25–29 age group — the first mortality-endpoint evidence from a national HPV programme.
Science & Research Desk · 4 min read
A population-level study published in The Lancet on June 19, 2026, has found zero cervical cancer deaths among women in England’s highest-coverage HPV-vaccinated birth cohort over a five-year follow-up window — the first evidence that HPV vaccination can drive cervical cancer mortality to zero in a real-world national cohort.
The study, led by Peter Sasieni (Wolfson Institute of Population Health, Queen Mary University of London) and Alejandra Falcaro, tracked cervical cancer mortality in English women by birth cohort according to the timing and coverage of the NHS HPV vaccination program launched in 2008. Among the cohort with vaccine coverage of 88–90% — those who received the jab through the school-based program at ages 12–13 — no cervical cancer deaths were recorded during the five-year observation window (women aged 20–24 in 2020–24). The authors report an 80% reduction in cervical cancer mortality in women aged 20–24 in 2015–19 (a period capturing the first routinely vaccinated cohorts as well as catch-up recipients), and a 69% reduction among women aged 25–29 in 2020–24, each compared with modelled expected mortality in the absence of vaccination.
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